The Serie D sees Ipatinga take on CSA on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ipatinga's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Democrata SL 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
CSA's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Lagarto 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
CSA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Ipatinga and 1.3 for CSA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ipatinga 33%, draw 27%, CSA 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ipatinga 1–1 CSA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ipatinga33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.70
CSA40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
2.54Expected goals
1.19Ipatinga xG
1.35CSA xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ipatinga 1.2 – 1.3 CSA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSA to win✗
40%
2.48
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSA / FT CSA✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Ipatinga – last 6
LLLWDL
4 Jul
@ Democrata SL
0–5
L
1 Jul
vs Aymorés
1–4
L
27 Jun
@ Villa Nova
0–6
L
27 Jun
vs Vitória ES
2–0
W
24 Jun
@ Valeriodoce
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs Valeriodoce
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSA – last 6
WDWDWW
27 Jun
vs Lagarto
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Lagarto
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
7–1
W
31 May
vs Jacuipense
1–1
D
17 May
@ CSE
5–1
W
5 Apr
vs Atlético Alagoinhas
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ipatinga and CSA.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Ipatinga vs CSA?
On our numbers Ipatinga have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CSA 40%.
How many goals will there be in Ipatinga vs CSA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ipatinga vs CSA?
Our predicted score is Ipatinga 1–1 CSA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ipatinga vs CSA?
Ipatinga vs CSA (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Cianorte4
XV de Piracicaba0
CRAC2
Treze1
Sao Jose1
Portuguesa RJ0
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario1
Maguary PE2
Iguatu3
Nacional AM1
Capital Brasilia0
Trem1
America-RN4
Serra Branca0
Uberlandia1