Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.32Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCardiff to win ✓67% · @1.32
Double chanceCardiff or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.86
Cardiff vs Swindon Town preview and prediction
The match
The League Cup sees Cardiff take on Swindon Town on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Form guide
Cardiff's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat AS Roma 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Swindon Town's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Forest Green 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Cardiff and 1.0 for Swindon Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff 67%, draw 17%, Swindon Town 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cardiff to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Cardiff 2–0 Swindon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff67%fair 1.50 · @1.32
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @5.20
Swindon Town17%fair 6.01 · @8.40
3.18Expected goals
2.21Cardiff xG
0.97Swindon Town xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cardiff 2.2 – 1.0 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✓
67%
1.50
1.32
Double chance
Cardiff or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Half-time result
Cardiff ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.86
–
Form
Cardiff – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Aug
vs AS Roma
4–1
W
25 Jul
@ Forest Green
5–1
W
14 Jul
@ Cork City
6–1
W
11 Jul
vs FC Midtjylland
0–6
L
22 Apr
vs Port Vale
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 6
WWLLWW
1 Aug
@ Forest Green
4–1
W
28 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Bristol City
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Crystal Palace
1–5
L
14 Jul
vs Chippenham Town
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Swindon Supermarine
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Cardiff to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Swindon Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 2–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
Cardiff vs Swindon Town (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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