Value bet: Burton Albion to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlackburn to win ✓41% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Burton Albion vs Blackburn preview and prediction
The match
Blackburn travel to Pirelli Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT) to face Burton Albion.
Form guide
Burton Albion's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Derby 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Blackburn's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Huddersfield 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Burton Albion and 1.4 for Blackburn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Burton Albion to win at 3.05 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Burton Albion 1–1 Blackburn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burton Albion35%fair 2.87 · @3.05
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Blackburn41%fair 2.42 · @2.26
2.57Expected goals
1.21Burton Albion xG
1.35Blackburn xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.2 – 1.4 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackburn to win✓
41%
2.42
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.64
–
Form
Burton Albion – last 6
WDLLDD
1 Aug
vs Derby
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Solihull Moors
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Birmingham
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Leicester
0–3
L
11 Jul
@ Alfreton Town
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Peterborough
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Blackburn – last 6
DWLWDL
1 Aug
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Strasbourg
2–0
W
22 Jul
@ Nottingham Forest
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Longridge Town
4–0
W
11 Jul
@ Accrington ST
0–0
D
2 May
vs Leicester
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Blackburn.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Blackburn 41%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
Burton Albion vs Blackburn (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.