Value bet: Chengdu Better City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChengdu Better City to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Yunnan Yukun take on Chengdu Better City on Tuesday 21 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Form guide
Yunnan Yukun's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Chengdu Better City's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Chengdu Better City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Chengdu Better City 2–1 Yunnan Yukun.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.6 for Yunnan Yukun and 2.6 for Chengdu Better City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations.
Value angle: Chengdu Better City to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Chengdu Better City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yunnan Yukun24%fair 4.19 · @3.00
Draw14%fair 7.38 · @4.00
Chengdu Better City63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
4.20Expected goals
1.57Yunnan Yukun xG
2.63Chengdu Better City xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 1.6 – 2.6 Chengdu Better City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Chengdu Better City 63%.
How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Chengdu Better City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SHANGHAI SIPG1
Sichuan Jiuniu1
Chongqing Tongliang Long2
Qingdao Youth Island0
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Jonoon1
Wuhan Three Towns1
Shandong Luneng1
Henan Jianye1
Dalian Zhixing1