Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Henan Jianye or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Henan Jianye to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHenan Jianye to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceHenan Jianye or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Henan Jianye take on Dalian Zhixing on Tuesday 21 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
Form guide
Henan Jianye's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Qingdao Jonoon 5–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dalian Zhixing's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Shandong Luneng 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Henan Jianye and 0.8 for Dalian Zhixing. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Henan Jianye to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Henan Jianye or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Henan Jianye 1–0 Dalian Zhixing. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Henan Jianye64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.35
Dalian Zhixing15%fair 6.82 · @3.55
2.63Expected goals
1.87Henan Jianye xG
0.76Dalian Zhixing xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Henan Jianye 1.9 – 0.8 Dalian Zhixing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Henan Jianye to win✗
64%
1.56
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Henan Jianye or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Half-time result
Henan Jianye ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Henan Jianye / FT Henan Jianye✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Form
Henan Jianye – last 6
WLLWLW
17 Jul
vs Qingdao Jonoon
5–1
W
3 Jul
@ Yunnan Yukun
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–2
L
19 Jun
@ Jiangxi Liansheng
2–0
W
30 May
vs Hangzhou Greentown
0–2
L
23 May
@ Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dalian Zhixing – last 6
WWLDLW
18 Jul
vs Shandong Luneng
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Wuhan Three Towns
3–2
W
28 Jun
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–4
L
19 Jun
@ Langfang Glory City
1–1
D
31 May
@ Tianjin Teda
0–1
L
23 May
vs Chengdu Better City
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Henan Jianye and Dalian Zhixing.
What is the prediction for Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our pick is Henan Jianye or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?
On our numbers Henan Jianye have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dalian Zhixing 15%.
How many goals will there be in Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our predicted score is Henan Jianye 1–0 Dalian Zhixing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?
Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SHANGHAI SIPG1
Sichuan Jiuniu1
Chongqing Tongliang Long2
Qingdao Youth Island0
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Jonoon1
Wuhan Three Towns1
Shandong Luneng1
Yunnan Yukun3
Chengdu Better City3