Value bet: Qingdao Youth Island to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Chongqing Tongliang Long take on Qingdao Youth Island on Tuesday 21 July, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Form guide
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Hangzhou Greentown 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Chengdu Better City 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.1 for Qingdao Youth Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chongqing Tongliang Long 45%, draw 22%, Qingdao Youth Island 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Qingdao Youth Island to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Qingdao Youth Island33%fair 3.01 · @3.35
2.48Expected goals
1.36Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
1.12Qingdao Youth Island xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.4 – 1.1 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win✓
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long✓
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Qingdao Youth Island 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SHANGHAI SIPG1
Sichuan Jiuniu1
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Jonoon1
Wuhan Three Towns1
Shandong Luneng1
Henan Jianye1
Dalian Zhixing1
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Chengdu Better City3