Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceShanghai Shenhua or draw ✓85% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon preview and prediction
The match
Qingdao Jonoon travel to Shanghai Stadium in the FA Cup on Tuesday 21 July (12:35 WAT) to face Shanghai Shenhua.
Form guide
Shanghai Shenhua's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Tianjin Teda 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Qingdao Jonoon's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Henan Jianye 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Shanghai Shenhua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.0 for Qingdao Jonoon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Qingdao Jonoon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shanghai Shenhua69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @5.40
Qingdao Jonoon15%fair 6.85 · @10.00
3.44Expected goals
2.43Shanghai Shenhua xG
1.01Qingdao Jonoon xG
61%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 2.4 – 1.0 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?
On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Qingdao Jonoon 15%.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SHANGHAI SIPG1
Sichuan Jiuniu1
Chongqing Tongliang Long2
Qingdao Youth Island0
Wuhan Three Towns1
Shandong Luneng1
Henan Jianye1
Dalian Zhixing1
Yunnan Yukun3
Chengdu Better City3