Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGlenavon FC to win ✓65% · @1.42
Double chanceGlenavon FC or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC preview and prediction
The match
Glenavon FC travel to face Moyola Park in the Championship on Saturday 3 October (18:00 WAT). Moyola Park are 13th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Glenavon FC sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Moyola Park's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Queen's University 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Glenavon FC's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Loughgall 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Glenavon FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Moyola Park and 2.3 for Glenavon FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moyola Park 14%, draw 21%, Glenavon FC 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Glenavon FC to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Moyola Park 1–2 Glenavon FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moyola Park14%fair 7.34 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.33
Glenavon FC65%fair 1.53 · @1.42
3.33Expected goals
1.01Moyola Park xG
2.32Glenavon FC xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–18%
0–18%
1–38%
0–37%
From our goals model: Moyola Park 1.0 – 2.3 Glenavon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Glenavon FC to win✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Double chance
Glenavon FC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Half-time result
Glenavon FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Glenavon FC / FT Glenavon FC✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Moyola Park – last 6
WDLLWL
26 Sep
@ Queen's University
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Ards
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Warrenpoint Town
2–6
L
5 Sep
vs H&W Welders
1–4
L
28 Aug
vs Armagh City
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Annagh United
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Glenavon FC – last 6
WWDLWD
25 Sep
vs Loughgall
4–1
W
19 Sep
vs Newington Youth
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Ballinamallard United
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Dundela
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Rathfriland
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Armagh City
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moyola Park and Glenavon FC.
What is the prediction for Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
Our pick is Glenavon FC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
On our numbers Moyola Park have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Glenavon FC 65%.
How many goals will there be in Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
Our predicted score is Moyola Park 1–2 Glenavon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
