Institute vs Newington Youth prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Newington Youth to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewington Youth to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Institute vs Newington Youth preview and prediction
The match
Newington Youth travel to face Institute in the Championship on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT). Institute are 6th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Newington Youth sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Institute's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Annagh United 0–5 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Newington Youth's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Ballinamallard United 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newington Youth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Institute and 2.2 for Newington Youth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Institute 20%, draw 19%, Newington Youth 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newington Youth to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Institute 1–2 Newington Youth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Institute20%fair 5.03 · @3.25
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.70
Newington Youth61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
3.38Expected goals
1.18Institute xG
2.20Newington Youth xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Institute 1.2 – 2.2 Newington Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newington Youth to win✗
61%
1.64
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Half-time result
Newington Youth ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newington Youth / FT Newington Youth✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Institute – last 6
LWWWLL
26 Sep
@ Annagh United
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Warrenpoint Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Armagh City
5–3
W
5 Sep
@ Rathfriland
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Newry City AFC
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Queen's University
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newington Youth – last 6
WLDWWW
26 Sep
vs Ballinamallard United
4–0
W
19 Sep
@ Glenavon FC
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Dundela
5–5
D
5 Sep
@ Warrenpoint Town
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Strabane Athletic
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Rathfriland
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Institute and Newington Youth.
What is the prediction for Institute vs Newington Youth?
Our pick is Newington Youth to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Institute vs Newington Youth?
On our numbers Institute have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newington Youth 61%.
How many goals will there be in Institute vs Newington Youth?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Institute vs Newington Youth?
Our predicted score is Institute 1–2 Newington Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Institute vs Newington Youth?
Institute vs Newington Youth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
