Ballinamallard United vs Ards prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArds to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Ballinamallard United vs Ards preview and prediction
The match
Ards travel to face Ballinamallard United in the Championship on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT). Ballinamallard United are 7th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Ards sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ballinamallard United's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Newington Youth 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Ards's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Strabane Athletic 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ballinamallard United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Ballinamallard United and 1.5 for Ards. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ballinamallard United 36%, draw 23%, Ards 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ballinamallard United 1–1 Ards. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ballinamallard United36%fair 2.74 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Ards41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
2.94Expected goals
1.42Ballinamallard United xG
1.52Ards xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ballinamallard United 1.4 – 1.5 Ards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ards to win✗
41%
2.44
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ards / FT Ards✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Ballinamallard United – last 6
LWDWLW
26 Sep
@ Newington Youth
0–4
L
19 Sep
@ H&W Welders
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Glenavon FC
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Loughgall
6–1
W
29 Aug
vs Annagh United
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Dundela
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ards – last 6
LDWLLL
26 Sep
vs Strabane Athletic
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Moyola Park
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Rathfriland
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Annagh United
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Queen's University
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Loughgall
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballinamallard United and Ards.
What is the prediction for Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
On our numbers Ballinamallard United have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ards 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Our predicted score is Ballinamallard United 1–1 Ards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Ballinamallard United vs Ards (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
