Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorino to win ✓63% · @1.39
Double chanceTorino or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.19
Torino vs Carrarese preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia sees Torino take on Carrarese on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Form guide
Torino's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Avellino 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Carrarese's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Virtus Entella 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Torino and 0.8 for Carrarese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torino 63%, draw 23%, Carrarese 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Torino 2–0 Carrarese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torino63%fair 1.58 · @1.39
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.30
Carrarese13%fair 7.47 · @8.70
2.78Expected goals
1.97Torino xG
0.81Carrarese xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Torino 2.0 – 0.8 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torino to win✓
63%
1.58
1.39
Double chance
Torino or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Torino ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torino / FT Torino✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.19
–
Form
Torino – last 6
DWLWDL
8 Aug
@ Avellino
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Burnley
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs Alcione
1–0
W
24 May
vs Juventus
2–2
D
17 May
@ Cagliari
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 6
WLLDDW
8 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Napoli
0–2
L
8 May
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1 May
vs Cesena
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Pescara
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Spezia
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torino and Carrarese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Torino vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Torino have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carrarese 13%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torino vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Torino 2–0 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Torino vs Carrarese?
Torino vs Carrarese (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.