Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUdinese to win ✓72% · @1.37
Double chanceUdinese or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Udinese vs Padova preview and prediction
The match
Udinese host Padova in the Coppa Italia on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Form guide
Udinese's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Barcelona 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Padova's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Monza 3–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Padova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Udinese and 0.7 for Padova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Udinese 72%, draw 17%, Padova 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Udinese 2–0 Padova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Udinese72%fair 1.39 · @1.37
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @4.60
Padova11%fair 8.93 · @8.10
2.89Expected goals
2.19Udinese xG
0.71Padova xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Udinese 2.2 – 0.7 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✓
72%
1.39
1.37
Double chance
Udinese or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Udinese ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Udinese – last 6
WWLDLL
8 Aug
vs Barcelona
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Trabzonspor
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs FSV Mainz 05
3–3
D
28 Jul
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–2
L
24 Jul
@ Swansea
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
DWLLWW
7 Aug
@ Monza
3–3
D
1 Aug
@ Cittadella
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Ospitaletto
1–3
L
22 Jul
@ Sassuolo
1–4
L
8 May
@ Cesena
4–3
W
1 May
vs Pescara
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Udinese and Padova.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Udinese vs Padova?
On our numbers Udinese have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Padova 11%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Padova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Udinese 2–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Padova?
Udinese vs Padova (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catanzaro2
Sudtirol2
Venezia3
Modena2
Torino1
Carrarese0