The Coppa Italia sees Venezia take on Modena on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Form guide
Venezia's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Stade Brestois 29 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Modena's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Vis Pesaro 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Venezia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Venezia and 0.8 for Modena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venezia 63%, draw 22%, Modena 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Venezia 2–0 Modena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venezia63%fair 1.59 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Modena15%fair 6.68 · @6.25
2.78Expected goals
1.95Venezia xG
0.84Modena xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Venezia 1.9 – 0.8 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venezia to win✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Double chance
Venezia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Venezia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venezia / FT Venezia✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.30
–
Form
Venezia – last 6
DLWWWW
8 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Saint Etienne
3–4
L
27 Jul
@ Galatasaray
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs Vis Pesaro
8–0
W
19 Jul
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
4–2
W
8 May
vs Palermo
2–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Modena – last 6
DWLWLL
8 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Trento
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Virtus Bolzano
5–0
W
12 May
vs Juve Stabia
0–1
L
8 May
@ Avellino
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Modena.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Venezia vs Modena?
On our numbers Venezia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Modena 15%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Modena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Venezia 2–0 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Modena?
Venezia vs Modena (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catanzaro2
Sudtirol2
Udinese1
Padova0
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Carrarese0