Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCatanzaro to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol preview and prediction
The match
Catanzaro host Sudtirol in the Coppa Italia on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Form guide
Catanzaro's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Giugliano 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sudtirol's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Virtus Verona 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Catanzaro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Catanzaro and 1.0 for Sudtirol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sudtirol to win at 3.70 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Catanzaro 1–1 Sudtirol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Catanzaro47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Sudtirol31%fair 3.20 · @3.70
2.39Expected goals
1.36Catanzaro xG
1.04Sudtirol xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.4 – 1.0 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catanzaro to win✗
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catanzaro / FT Catanzaro✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Catanzaro – last 6
WWLLWW
5 Aug
vs Giugliano
3–0
W
29 May
@ Monza
2–0
W
24 May
vs Monza
0–2
L
20 May
@ Palermo
0–2
L
17 May
vs Palermo
3–0
W
12 May
vs Avellino
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
WDDDLD
7 Aug
vs Virtus Verona
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
D
22 May
vs Bari
0–0
D
8 May
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
1 May
@ Sampdoria
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Cesena
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catanzaro and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sudtirol 31%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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