Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeicester to win50% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.95
Leicester vs Bradford preview and prediction
The match
Leicester host Bradford in the League One on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at King Power Stadium. Leicester are 10th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Bradford sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leicester's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Walsall 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Bradford's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat York 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Leicester and 1.0 for Bradford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leicester 1–1 Bradford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leicester50%fair 2.01 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.60
Bradford25%fair 3.94 · @3.75
2.34Expected goals
1.31Leicester xG
1.03Bradford xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leicester 1.3 – 1.0 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Leicester
Bradford
Attack vs League One average
+20%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-44%
Our expected goals here
0.99
0.94
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win
50%
2.01
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.95
–
Form
Leicester – last 6
WWDWLW
10 Nov
vs Walsall
2–1
W
6 Nov
@ Oxford City
4–2
W
31 Oct
vs Stevenage
2–2
D
27 Oct
vs Wigan
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Luton
1–2
L
20 Oct
@ Bromley
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bradford – last 6
WWLWDD
10 Nov
vs York
4–0
W
7 Nov
vs Marine
7–0
W
31 Oct
vs Huddersfield
0–3
L
27 Oct
vs Peterborough
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Oxford United
0–0
D
20 Oct
@ Burton Albion
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leicester and Bradford.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Leicester vs Bradford?
On our numbers Leicester have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bradford 25%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Bradford?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Bradford?
Our predicted score is Leicester 1–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leicester vs Bradford?
Leicester vs Bradford (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
