Value bet: Blackpool to win @ 2.83 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNotts County to win39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.85
Notts County vs Blackpool preview and prediction
The match
Notts County host Blackpool in the League One on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Meadow Lane. Notts County are 17th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Blackpool sit 19th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Notts County's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Grimsby 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Blackpool's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Wigan 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Notts County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Notts County and 1.4 for Blackpool. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Notts County 39%, draw 24%, Blackpool 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Blackpool to win at 2.83 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Notts County 1–1 Blackpool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notts County39%fair 2.59 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.32
Blackpool38%fair 2.66 · @2.83
2.84Expected goals
1.43Notts County xG
1.41Blackpool xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.4 – 1.4 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notts County to win
39%
2.59
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notts County / FT Notts County
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.85
–
Form
Notts County – last 6
WLLDDW
22 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Reading
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Bradford
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Doncaster
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Burton Albion
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Blackpool – last 6
LLDLLW
22 Sep
@ Wigan
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Plymouth
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Bromley
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Reading
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Barnsley
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Peterborough
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Blackpool.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Blackpool?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Notts County vs Blackpool?
On our numbers Notts County have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Blackpool 38%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Blackpool?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Blackpool?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Blackpool?
Notts County vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
