League One · England · Abbey StadiumCambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon prediction & analysis
Cambridge United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cambridge United to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cambridge United 1.8 – 0.7 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cambridge United are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for AFC Wimbledon.
Cambridge United have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. AFC Wimbledon have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Cambridge United, 0.7 for AFC Wimbledon). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Cambridge United or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Cambridge United to win at 1.80 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cambridge United to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Cambridge United or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Cambridge United ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cambridge United / FT Cambridge United ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.77 | – |
Form
Cambridge United – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Gillingham | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Oxford United | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Reading | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Burton Albion | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Bradford | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Huddersfield | 1–2 | L |
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
| 17 Sep | vs Milton Keynes Dons | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Doncaster | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | @ Bromley | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Burton Albion | 1–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Wigan | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | @ Fulham | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon.
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Cambridge United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Cambridge United have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Wimbledon 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Abbey Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.