League One · England · Field MillMansfield Town vs Leyton Orient prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.21
Value bet: Leyton Orient to win @ 3.02 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mansfield Town 1.5 – 1.5 Leyton Orient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Mansfield Town and Leyton Orient on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Mansfield Town have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Leyton Orient have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Mansfield Town, 1.5 for Leyton Orient). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Mansfield Town have won 0, Leyton Orient have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Leyton Orient to win at 3.02 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leyton Orient to win | 40% | 2.51 | 3.02 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 77% | 1.29 | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leyton Orient / FT Leyton Orient | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 9% | 11.70 | – |
Form
Mansfield Town – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Burton Albion | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Huddersfield | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Bradford | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Reading | 0–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Luton | 5–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Peterborough | 1–2 | L |
Leyton Orient – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Stevenage | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Arsenal U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Wycombe | 2–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Bradford | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Luton | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Bromley | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
| 14 Apr 2026 | Leyton Orient v Mansfield Town | 0–0 |
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient?
On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leyton Orient 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient?
Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient (League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Field Mill.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.