Value bet: Stevenage to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStevenage to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage preview and prediction
The match
Leyton Orient host Stevenage in the League One on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Matchroom Stadium. Leyton Orient are 14th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Stevenage sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leyton Orient's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Arsenal U21 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Stevenage's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Luton 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Stevenage arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Stevenage 1–2 Leyton Orient.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Leyton Orient and 1.6 for Stevenage. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Stevenage to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leyton Orient 1–1 Stevenage. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leyton Orient37%fair 2.70 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Stevenage38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.62Leyton Orient xG
1.63Stevenage xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Leyton Orient 1.6 – 1.6 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Leyton Orient have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stevenage 38%.
How many goals will there be in Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Leyton Orient 1–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Matchroom Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
