League One · England · Oakwell GroundBarnsley vs Leicester prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barnsley 1.3 – 1.6 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Leicester shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 33% for Barnsley.
Barnsley have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.5 per game. Leicester have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.3 for Barnsley, 1.6 for Leicester). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leicester to win ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leicester / FT Leicester ✗ | 27% | 3.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.87 | – |
Form
Barnsley – last 6
| 15 Sep | @ Peterborough | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Plymouth | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Stevenage | 1–5 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Blackpool | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Leyton Orient | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Crewe | 3–2 | W |
Leicester – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Stockport County | 4–3 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Oxford United | 0–4 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Plymouth | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Milton Keynes Dons | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ Ipswich | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Burton Albion | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Leicester.
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barnsley vs Leicester?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Barnsley vs Leicester?
On our numbers Barnsley have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leicester 47%.
How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Leicester?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Barnsley vs Leicester?
Barnsley vs Leicester (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.