Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town prediction & analysis

Burton Albion hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Mansfield Town.

Burton Albion have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Mansfield Town have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded. Burton Albion come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.3 goals (1.8 for Burton Albion, 1.5 for Mansfield Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%).

In their last 1 meeting, Burton Albion have won 0, Mansfield Town have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Burton Albion to win at 2.38 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).