Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: York to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYork to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceYork or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
York vs Accrington ST preview and prediction
The match
Accrington ST travel to York`s LNER Community Stadium in the League Two on Tuesday 20 October (19:45 WAT) to face York. York are 7th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Accrington ST sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
York's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Newport County 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Accrington ST's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Gillingham 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Accrington ST arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for York and 0.9 for Accrington ST. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: York 63%, draw 19%, Accrington ST 18%.
Safer route: York or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: York to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was York or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: York 1–0 Accrington ST. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.70
Accrington ST18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
2.90Expected goals
1.97York xG
0.93Accrington ST xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: York 2.0 – 0.9 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✗
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
York or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
York ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.23
–
Form
York – last 6
DDWDLL
17 Oct
@ Newport County
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Northampton
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Gillingham
3–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
WDDWDD
17 Oct
vs Gillingham
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Oldham
0–0
D
6 Oct
vs Salford City
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Cheltenham
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Sunderland U21
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Accrington ST.
Our pick is York or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win York vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers York have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Accrington ST 18%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is York 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is York vs Accrington ST?
York vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
