Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Rochdale to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRochdale to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.29
Rochdale vs Grimsby preview and prediction
The match
Grimsby travel to Spotland in the League Two on Tuesday 20 October (19:45 WAT) to face Rochdale. Rochdale are 20th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Grimsby sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rochdale's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Crewe 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Grimsby's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Northampton 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Rochdale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Rochdale and 1.2 for Grimsby. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rochdale 40%, draw 22%, Grimsby 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Rochdale to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Rochdale 1–1 Grimsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochdale40%fair 2.51 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Grimsby38%fair 2.65 · @2.15
2.45Expected goals
1.25Rochdale xG
1.20Grimsby xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.2 – 1.2 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✗
40%
2.51
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.29
–
Form
Rochdale – last 6
LDLWWD
17 Oct
@ Crewe
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Tranmere
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Huddersfield
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Swindon Town
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Liverpool U21
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
LLDLLL
17 Oct
vs Northampton
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
6 Oct
vs Burton Albion
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Newport County
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Notts County
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Grimsby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Rochdale vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grimsby 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Grimsby?
Rochdale vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Spotland.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
