League Two · England · Sixfields StadiumNorthampton vs Tranmere prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Northampton to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Northampton 1.2 – 0.9 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Northampton hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 30% for Tranmere.
Northampton have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tranmere have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.2 for Northampton, 0.9 for Tranmere). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.82. For a bigger price, Northampton to win at 2.25 is our value angle (48% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Northampton to win ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Northampton / FT Northampton ✗ | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.66 | – |
Form
Northampton – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Grimsby | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ York | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Cambridge United | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rotherham | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Shrewsbury | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Newport County | 1–0 | W |
Tranmere – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Barnet | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Rochdale | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Chesterfield | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Shrewsbury | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Exeter City | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Tranmere.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Northampton have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tranmere 30%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Northampton vs Tranmere?
Northampton vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.