League Two · England · New York StadiumRotherham vs Newport County prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Value bet: Newport County to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.3 – 1.3 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rotherham and Newport County on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rotherham have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Newport County have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Newport County come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Rotherham, 1.3 for Newport County). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.80. For a bigger price, Newport County to win at 3.30 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rotherham to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham ✗ | 22% | 4.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.17 | – |
Form
Rotherham – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Fleetwood Town | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Gillingham | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Bradford | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Exeter City | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ York | 1–1 | D |
Newport County – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs York | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Colchester | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Plymouth | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Gillingham | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Grimsby | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Newport County.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Newport County 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Newport County?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Rotherham vs Newport County?
Rotherham vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.