Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPort Vale to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Gillingham vs Port Vale preview and prediction
The match
Port Vale travel to Priestfield Stadium in the League Two on Tuesday 20 October (20:00 WAT) to face Gillingham. Gillingham are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Port Vale sit 19th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gillingham's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Accrington ST 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Port Vale's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Chesterfield 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Port Vale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Gillingham and 1.1 for Port Vale. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gillingham 37%, draw 24%, Port Vale 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Gillingham to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gillingham37%fair 2.71 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Port Vale39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
2.15Expected goals
1.06Gillingham xG
1.09Port Vale xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.1 – 1.1 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✗
39%
2.58
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
20%
4.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Gillingham – last 6
LWWDLL
17 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–3
L
13 Oct
vs Brighton U21
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Rotherham
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Newport County
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ York
0–3
L
22 Sep
vs Cambridge United
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
WWWDLW
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Port Vale 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Gillingham vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
