League Two · England · Prenton ParkTranmere vs Rochdale prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
Value bet: Rochdale to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tranmere 1.4 – 1.1 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tranmere hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 34% for Rochdale.
Tranmere have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Rochdale have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Tranmere, 1.1 for Rochdale). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Tranmere have won 0, Rochdale have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.80. For a bigger price, Rochdale to win at 3.50 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tranmere to win ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tranmere / FT Tranmere ✗ | 25% | 4.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.91 | – |
Form
Tranmere – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Chesterfield | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Shrewsbury | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Exeter City | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Gillingham | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Oldham | 2–0 | W |
Rochdale – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Huddersfield | 0–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Swindon Town | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Fleetwood Town | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Liverpool U21 | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Oldham | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Walsall | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 2026 | Tranmere v Rochdale | 2–2 |
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tranmere vs Rochdale?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tranmere vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Tranmere have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochdale 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tranmere vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Tranmere vs Rochdale?
Tranmere vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Prenton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.