League Two · England · New MeadowShrewsbury vs Exeter City prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.1 – 0.8 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Shrewsbury hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Exeter City.
Shrewsbury have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Exeter City have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.1 for Shrewsbury, 0.8 for Exeter City). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.90. For a bigger price, Exeter City to win at 3.30 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shrewsbury to win ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.25 | – |
Form
Shrewsbury – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Stockport County | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Grimsby | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Colchester | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ Tranmere | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Northampton | 2–0 | W |
Exeter City – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Oxford United | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Rotherham | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Bristol Rovers | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Cheltenham | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Tranmere | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Port Vale | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Exeter City.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Exeter City 33%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.