Value bet: Salford City to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalford City to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Oldham vs Salford City preview and prediction
The match
Salford City travel to Boundary Park in the League Two on Saturday 26 September (17:30 WAT) to face Oldham. Oldham are 18th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Salford City sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Oldham's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Fleetwood Town 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Salford City's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Salford City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Oldham and 1.4 for Salford City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oldham 36%, draw 23%, Salford City 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Salford City to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Oldham 1–1 Salford City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oldham36%fair 2.75 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.50
Salford City41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
2.65Expected goals
1.27Oldham xG
1.37Salford City xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.3 – 1.4 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salford City to win✓
41%
2.44
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salford City / FT Salford City✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Oldham – last 6
WLLLDW
22 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Chesterfield
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Swindon Town
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Salford City – last 6
LWDWWL
22 Sep
vs Sheffield Wednesday
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Swindon Town
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Rotherham
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Port Vale
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Newport County
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Salford City.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Salford City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Oldham vs Salford City?
On our numbers Oldham have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Salford City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Salford City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Salford City?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–1 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Salford City?
Oldham vs Salford City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
