Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurnley to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceBurnley or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.53
Burnley vs Charlton preview and prediction
The match
Burnley host Charlton in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Turf Moor. Burnley are 22nd with 10 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Charlton sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Burnley's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Watford 4–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Charlton's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Bristol City 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Burnley and 0.7 for Charlton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burnley 66%, draw 23%, Charlton 11%.
Safer route: Burnley or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Burnley to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burnley 2–0 Charlton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burnley66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.75
Charlton11%fair 9.32 · @5.00
2.72Expected goals
2.01Burnley xG
0.71Charlton xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burnley 2.0 – 0.7 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
66%
1.51
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Burnley or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Burnley ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.53
–
Form
Burnley – last 6
WDLDLD
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Swansea
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Wrexham
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 6
DLDDLD
10 Oct
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Portsmouth
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs QPR
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Stoke City
0–4
L
2 Sep
@ West Brom
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley and Charlton.
Our pick is Burnley to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Burnley vs Charlton?
On our numbers Burnley have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Charlton 11%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Burnley 2–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Burnley vs Charlton?
Burnley vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
