Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Spartak Moscow take on Fakel on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Lukoil Arena. Spartak Moscow are 3rd with 29 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Fakel sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat FC Rostov 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Fakel's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Baltika 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spartak Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Spartak Moscow and 0.6 for Fakel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Spartak Moscow to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 2–0 Fakel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Moscow72%fair 1.40 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @5.15
Fakel11%fair 9.34 · @9.40
2.71Expected goals
2.08Spartak Moscow xG
0.63Fakel xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.1 – 0.6 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.71
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WLWDWD
13 Sep
vs FC Rostov
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Rodina Moskva
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Zenit
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Rubin
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
DLDLDL
12 Sep
vs Baltika
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ FC Rostov
1–3
L
1 Sep
vs FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Zenit
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Akhmat
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Fakel.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fakel 11%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
