Value bet: Rubin to win @ 2.41 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRubin to win ✗44% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Rodina Moskva vs Rubin preview and prediction
The match
Rodina Moskva host Rubin in the Premier League on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Arena Khimki. Rodina Moskva are 13th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Rubin sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rodina Moskva's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Krylia Sovetov 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rubin's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with CSKA Moscow 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Rubin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 August 2026, finished Rodina Moskva 5–0 Rubin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Rodina Moskva and 1.5 for Rubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva 33%, draw 22%, Rubin 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Rubin to win at 2.41 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva33%fair 3.00 · @3.12
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.26
Rubin44%fair 2.26 · @2.41
2.83Expected goals
1.29Rodina Moskva xG
1.54Rubin xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.3 – 1.5 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rubin 44%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Rodina Moskva vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
