Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.27Odds
1
Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 1.88 – our chance 66% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗66% · @1.88
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓87% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv host Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at RZD Arena. Lokomotiv are 15th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Krylia Sovetov sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Zenit 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Rodina Moskva 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Krylia Sovetov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Lokomotiv and 0.8 for Krylia Sovetov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Lokomotiv to win at 1.88 – 66% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lokomotiv or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.27, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv66%fair 1.52 · @1.88
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.85
Krylia Sovetov13%fair 7.43 · @4.00
2.72Expected goals
1.97Lokomotiv xG
0.76Krylia Sovetov xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 2.0 – 0.8 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
66%
1.52
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.27 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Lokomotiv ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
Lokomotiv – last 6
LWDLLL
12 Sep
@ Zenit
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Baltika
1–0
W
1 Sep
@ Akron
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
2–3
L
18 Aug
@ FC Rostov
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
WDDDWD
11 Sep
vs Rodina Moskva
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs FC Krasnodar
2–2
D
2 Sep
@ Baltika
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Akhmat
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Akron
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Zenit
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Krylia Sovetov.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Lokomotiv or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Krylia Sovetov 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
