Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Zenit to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.11
Baltika vs Zenit preview and prediction
The match
Baltika host Zenit in the Premier League on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at Rostec Arena. Baltika are 9th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Zenit sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Baltika's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Fakel 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Zenit's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zenit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 August 2026, finished Zenit 1–0 Baltika. Across their last 3 meetings Baltika have won 0, Zenit 3, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Baltika and 1.8 for Zenit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika 17%, draw 20%, Zenit 63%.
Safer route: Zenit or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.04.
Value angle: Zenit to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zenit or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Baltika 0–1 Zenit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika17%fair 5.79 · @4.25
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.54
Zenit63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
2.53Expected goals
0.76Baltika xG
1.77Zenit xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Baltika 0.8 – 1.8 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zenit or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baltika vs Zenit?
On our numbers Baltika have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zenit 63%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Baltika 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Zenit?
Baltika vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
