Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanada to win ✓60% · @1.68
Double chanceCanada or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.21
South Africa vs Canada preview and prediction
The match
South Africa host Canada in the World Cup on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at SoFi Stadium.
Form guide
South Africa's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat South Korea 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Canada's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Switzerland 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Canada arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for South Africa and 1.7 for Canada. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Africa 17%, draw 23%, Canada 60%.
Safer route: Canada or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: South Africa 0–1 Canada. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Africa17%fair 6.00 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Canada60%fair 1.66 · @1.68
2.53Expected goals
0.79South Africa xG
1.74Canada xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: South Africa 0.8 – 1.7 Canada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win✓
60%
1.66
1.68
Double chance
Canada or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Canada ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.21
–
Form
South Africa – last 6
WDLDLD
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Panama
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Canada – last 6
LWDDWD
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Rep. Of Ireland
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Tunisia
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Canada.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs Canada?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win South Africa vs Canada?
On our numbers South Africa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Canada 60%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Canada?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Canada?
Our predicted score is South Africa 0–1 Canada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs Canada?
South Africa vs Canada (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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