Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Congo DR to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCongo DR to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceCongo DR or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan preview and prediction
The match
Uzbekistan travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the World Cup on Sunday 28 June (00:30 WAT) to face Congo DR.
Form guide
Congo DR's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Colombia 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uzbekistan's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Portugal 0–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Congo DR and 0.9 for Uzbekistan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Congo DR 60%, draw 22%, Uzbekistan 18%.
Safer route: Congo DR or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Congo DR to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Congo DR or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Congo DR 1–0 Uzbekistan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Congo DR60%fair 1.66 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Uzbekistan18%fair 5.52 · @4.33
2.78Expected goals
1.87Congo DR xG
0.91Uzbekistan xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Congo DR 1.9 – 0.9 Uzbekistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Congo DR to win✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Congo DR or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Congo DR ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Congo DR / FT Congo DR✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.64
–
Form
Congo DR – last 5
LDLDD
24 Jun
@ Colombia
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Portugal
1–1
D
9 Jun
vs Chile
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs Denmark
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Jamaica
0–0
D
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Uzbekistan – last 5
LLLLW
23 Jun
@ Portugal
0–5
L
18 Jun
vs Colombia
1–3
L
8 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
2 Jun
@ Canada
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Gabon
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Congo DR and Uzbekistan.
What is the prediction for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
Our pick is Congo DR or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
On our numbers Congo DR have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Uzbekistan 18%.
How many goals will there be in Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
Our predicted score is Congo DR 1–0 Uzbekistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colombia0
Portugal0
Algeria3
Austria3
Jordan1
Argentina3
South Africa0
Canada1