Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Austria to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓35% · @2.00
Double chanceAustria or draw ✓69% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Algeria vs Austria preview and prediction
The match
Algeria host Austria in the World Cup on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Arrowhead Stadium.
Form guide
Algeria's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Jordan 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Austria's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Argentina 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Algeria and 1.2 for Austria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Algeria 31%, draw 35%, Austria 34%.
Safer route: Austria or draw (69%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Austria to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Algeria 1–1 Austria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Algeria31%fair 3.21 · @3.40
Draw35%fair 2.84 · @2.00
Austria34%fair 2.97 · @3.60
2.44Expected goals
1.19Algeria xG
1.25Austria xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Algeria 1.2 – 1.2 Austria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
35%
2.84
2.00
Double chance
Austria or draw✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austria / FT Austria✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Algeria – last 6
WLWWDW
23 Jun
@ Jordan
2–1
W
17 Jun
@ Argentina
0–3
L
11 Jun
@ Bolivia
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Uruguay
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Guatemala
7–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Austria – last 5
LWWWW
22 Jun
@ Argentina
0–2
L
17 Jun
vs Jordan
3–1
W
1 Jun
vs Tunisia
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs South Korea
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs Ghana
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeria and Austria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Algeria vs Austria?
On our numbers Algeria have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Austria 34%.
How many goals will there be in Algeria vs Austria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Austria?
Our predicted score is Algeria 1–1 Austria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Algeria vs Austria?
Algeria vs Austria (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Arrowhead Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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