Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Coventry to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoventry to win45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.57
Coventry vs Crystal Palace preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Coventry take on Crystal Palace on Saturday 21 November, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Coventry Building Society Arena. Coventry are 17th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Crystal Palace sit 20th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Coventry's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Everton 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Crystal Palace's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Liverpool 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Coventry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.8 for Coventry and 1.3 for Crystal Palace. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Coventry to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Coventry 1–1 Crystal Palace. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coventry45%fair 2.22 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Crystal Palace33%fair 3.06 · @2.70
3.16Expected goals
1.84Coventry xG
1.33Crystal Palace xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Coventry 1.8 – 1.3 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Attack vs Premier League average
-8%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+32%
+48%
Our expected goals here
2.09
1.31
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coventry to win
45%
2.22
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coventry / FT Coventry
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.57
–
Form
Coventry – last 6
LWLLWW
6 Nov
@ Everton
1–3
L
31 Oct
vs Sunderland
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Fulham
0–1
L
19 Oct
@ Tottenham
1–3
L
12 Oct
vs Newcastle
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Crystal Palace – last 6
LDLWLD
8 Nov
vs Liverpool
1–3
L
5 Nov
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
D
31 Oct
@ Tottenham
0–2
L
28 Oct
@ Fulham
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Newcastle
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ Beşiktaş
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coventry and Crystal Palace.
What is the prediction for Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
On our numbers Coventry have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crystal Palace 33%.
How many goals will there be in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
Our predicted score is Coventry 1–1 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
Coventry vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Coventry Building Society Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
