Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAston Villa to win59% · @1.70
Double chanceAston Villa or draw82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.10
Aston Villa vs Sunderland preview and prediction
The match
Sunderland travel to Villa Park in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (16:00 WAT) to face Aston Villa. Aston Villa are 10th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Aston Villa's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Manchester United 4–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Sunderland's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Chelsea 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Aston Villa and 1.1 for Sunderland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aston Villa 59%, draw 24%, Sunderland 18%.
Safer route: Aston Villa or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aston Villa 1–1 Sunderland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aston Villa59%fair 1.70 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.75
Sunderland18%fair 5.70 · @4.75
2.98Expected goals
1.90Aston Villa xG
1.08Sunderland xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 1.9 – 1.1 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Attack vs Premier League average
+18%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.96
1.23
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sunderland 18%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 1–1 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Aston Villa vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
