Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester United to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Manchester United vs Bournemouth preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Manchester United take on Bournemouth on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Old Trafford. Manchester United are 18th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Bournemouth sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Manchester United's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Como 1–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Bournemouth's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat AC Milan 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bournemouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Manchester United and 1.4 for Bournemouth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manchester United 45%, draw 21%, Bournemouth 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Bournemouth to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Manchester United 1–1 Bournemouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manchester United45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Bournemouth34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
3.00Expected goals
1.62Manchester United xG
1.38Bournemouth xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.6 – 1.4 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bournemouth 34%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–1 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Manchester United vs Bournemouth (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
