Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Leeds to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeeds to win ✗47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Sunderland vs Leeds preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Sunderland take on Leeds on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadium of Light. Sunderland are 19th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Leeds sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sunderland's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Lech Poznan 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Leeds's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Manchester United 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished Sunderland 0–1 Leeds. Across their last 2 meetings Sunderland have won 1, Leeds 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Sunderland and 1.4 for Leeds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sunderland 30%, draw 23%, Leeds 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Leeds to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sunderland 1–1 Leeds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunderland30%fair 3.32 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Leeds47%fair 2.12 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.07Sunderland xG
1.43Leeds xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.1 – 1.4 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leeds 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Leeds?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Leeds?
Sunderland vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
