Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Brighton to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Liverpool vs Brighton preview and prediction
The match
Brighton travel to Anfield in the Premier League on Sunday 25 October (15:00 WAT) to face Liverpool. Liverpool are 4th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Brighton sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Liverpool's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Villarreal 4–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Brighton's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with FK Jablonec 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Liverpool and 1.6 for Brighton. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool 39%, draw 22%, Brighton 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Brighton to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Liverpool 1–1 Brighton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool39%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Brighton38%fair 2.61 · @3.10
3.21Expected goals
1.62Liverpool xG
1.59Brighton xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Liverpool 1.6 – 1.6 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✓
39%
2.53
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✓
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Form
Liverpool – last 6
WWWLWW
20 Oct
vs Villarreal
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ Brentford
2–1
W
14 Oct
@ Lask Linz
6–3
W
11 Oct
vs Manchester City
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Bournemouth
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Tottenham
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Brighton – last 6
DWWWWW
22 Oct
@ FK Jablonec
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
5–0
W
15 Oct
vs Kauno Žalgiris
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Sunderland
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Arsenal
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Manchester United
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool and Brighton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brighton 38%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Brighton?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 1–1 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Brighton?
Liverpool vs Brighton (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
