Premier League · England · Selhurst ParkCrystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Crystal Palace 1.7 – 1.8 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Crystal Palace and Newcastle on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Crystal Palace have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Newcastle have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.7 for Crystal Palace, 1.8 for Newcastle). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newcastle to win ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle ✗ | 25% | 4.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.22 | – |
Form
Crystal Palace – last 6
| 22 Oct | @ Beşiktaş | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Brighton | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ Lyon | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Bristol City | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Leeds | 0–0 | D |
Newcastle – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Aston Villa | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ Coventry | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Hull City | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Leeds | 1–4 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Millwall | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Bournemouth | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crystal Palace and Newcastle.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Crystal Palace have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newcastle 40%.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Selhurst Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.