Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Arsenal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.78
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal travel to City Ground in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October (16:30 WAT) to face Nottingham Forest. Nottingham Forest are 16th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nottingham Forest's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Crystal Palace 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Arsenal's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Lille 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Nottingham Forest and 1.8 for Arsenal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nottingham Forest 10%, draw 25%, Arsenal 66%.
Safer route: Arsenal or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arsenal to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nottingham Forest10%fair 10.51 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.60
Arsenal66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
2.33Expected goals
0.55Nottingham Forest xG
1.78Arsenal xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 0.6 – 1.8 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Arsenal ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✗
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
17%
5.78
–
Form
Nottingham Forest – last 6
LLWDDL
11 Oct
@ Crystal Palace
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coventry
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Aston Villa
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Tottenham
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Liverpool
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Leeds
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 6
WWLWWW
13 Oct
vs Lille
3–0
W
10 Oct
vs Leeds
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Brighton
0–3
L
15 Sep
@ Ipswich
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Sunderland
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Napoli
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our pick is Arsenal to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal 66%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
