Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Sunderland to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBournemouth to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Bournemouth vs Sunderland preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Bournemouth take on Sunderland on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Bournemouth's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Sturm Graz 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sunderland's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Torreense 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Bournemouth and 1.5 for Sunderland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Sunderland to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bournemouth44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Sunderland34%fair 2.90 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
1.69Bournemouth xG
1.48Sunderland xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.7 – 1.5 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sunderland 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Bournemouth vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
