Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeeds to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.86
Leeds vs Manchester United preview and prediction
The match
Manchester United travel to Elland Road in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October (14:00 WAT) to face Leeds. Leeds are 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Manchester United sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Leeds's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Arsenal 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Manchester United's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 August 2026, finished Leeds 1–1 Manchester United. Across their last 2 meetings Leeds have won 1, Manchester United 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Leeds and 1.2 for Manchester United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leeds 41%, draw 23%, Manchester United 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Leeds 1–1 Manchester United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leeds41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Manchester United36%fair 2.76 · @2.80
2.58Expected goals
1.34Leeds xG
1.24Manchester United xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Leeds 1.3 – 1.2 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leeds vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Leeds vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Leeds have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manchester United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds vs Manchester United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Leeds 1–1 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leeds vs Manchester United?
Leeds vs Manchester United (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Elland Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.