Premier League · England · American Express StadiumBrighton vs Crystal Palace prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Brighton 2.5 – 1.2 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Brighton are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Crystal Palace.
Brighton have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Crystal Palace have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Brighton come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.5 for Brighton, 1.2 for Crystal Palace). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Brighton to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Brighton or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Brighton ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Brighton / FT Brighton ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.73 | – |
Form
Brighton – last 6
| 15 Oct | vs Kauno Žalgiris | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Sunderland | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Arsenal | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Manchester United | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Coventry | 5–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Leeds | 1–1 | D |
Crystal Palace – last 6
| 15 Oct | @ Lyon | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Bristol City | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Leeds | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Lech Poznan | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Ipswich | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Crystal Palace.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
On our numbers Brighton have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Crystal Palace 15%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at American Express Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.