Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelsea to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Chelsea vs Bournemouth preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Chelsea take on Bournemouth on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are 5th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Bournemouth sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chelsea's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Brentford 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Bournemouth's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Liverpool 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for Chelsea and 1.2 for Bournemouth. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea 61%, draw 21%, Bournemouth 18%.
Safer route: Chelsea or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chelsea or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chelsea 2–1 Bournemouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.00
Bournemouth18%fair 5.62 · @4.50
3.60Expected goals
2.36Chelsea xG
1.24Bournemouth xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Chelsea 2.4 – 1.2 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Double chance
Chelsea or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Chelsea ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
Chelsea – last 6
LDWLWW
18 Sep
@ Brentford
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Hull City
2–2
D
9 Sep
vs Leeds
6–3
W
6 Sep
@ Arsenal
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Brighton
4–3
W
27 Aug
vs Luton
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 6
LWDWDD
20 Sep
vs Liverpool
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Real Sociedad
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Brentford
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Lincoln
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Newcastle
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Everton
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Bournemouth.
What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Chelsea or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bournemouth 18%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–1 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
Chelsea vs Bournemouth (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
