Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Brentford to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrentford to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Aston Villa vs Brentford preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Aston Villa take on Brentford on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Villa Park. Aston Villa are 10th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Brentford sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aston Villa's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Sevilla 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Brentford's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Chelsea 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Aston Villa and 1.5 for Brentford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aston Villa 33%, draw 22%, Brentford 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Brentford to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Aston Villa 1–1 Brentford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aston Villa33%fair 3.01 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Brentford45%fair 2.22 · @2.50
2.70Expected goals
1.22Aston Villa xG
1.48Brentford xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 1.2 – 1.5 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford to win✗
45%
2.22
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brentford / FT Brentford✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Aston Villa – last 6
WWWLWD
2 Oct
@ Sevilla
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Tottenham
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Coventry
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Club Brugge KV
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Hull City
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 6
WWDDDW
18 Sep
vs Chelsea
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Reading
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Leeds
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Birmingham
6–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and Brentford.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Brentford?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brentford 45%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Brentford?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 1–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Aston Villa vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
