Value bet: Partick to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivingston to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Livingston vs Partick preview and prediction
The match
Livingston host Partick in the Championship on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena. Livingston are 5th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Partick sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Livingston's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Ayr Utd 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Partick's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Arbroath 3–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Partick 2–0 Livingston. Across their last 2 meetings Livingston have won 0, Partick 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Livingston and 0.9 for Partick. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Value angle: Partick to win at 2.88 – 37% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Livingston 1–1 Partick. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livingston39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Partick37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
1.88Expected goals
0.96Livingston xG
0.92Partick xG
55%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.0 – 0.9 Partick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Livingston vs Partick?
On our numbers Livingston have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Partick 37%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Partick?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Partick?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–1 Partick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Partick?
Livingston vs Partick (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
